Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 5.910138e-05 0.000069 0.000079 0.000091 0.000104 0.000117 0.000133
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 4.606224e-05 0.000059 0.000073 0.000089 0.000109 0.000130 0.000156
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.803773e-05 0.000052 0.000069 0.000089 0.000114 0.000142 0.000177
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.142117e-05 0.000046 0.000064 0.000088 0.000117 0.000151 0.000193
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.639966e-05 0.000042 0.000061 0.000087 0.000120 0.000159 0.000209
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.220157e-05 0.000037 0.000057 0.000085 0.000121 0.000166 0.000223
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.828421e-05 0.000033 0.000053 0.000082 0.000121 0.000170 0.000234
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.476899e-05 0.000029 0.000049 0.000079 0.000120 0.000172 0.000241
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.223148e-05 0.000026 0.000046 0.000077 0.000119 0.000175 0.000251
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.129145e-05 0.000025 0.000046 0.000079 0.000126 0.000187 0.000271
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 9.843809e-06 0.000023 0.000045 0.000079 0.000129 0.000194 0.000285
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 9.699888e-06 0.000024 0.000047 0.000084 0.000138 0.000211 0.000312
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 7.638991e-06 0.000021 0.000044 0.000082 0.000138 0.000216 0.000325
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 6.032707e-06 0.000018 0.000041 0.000080 0.000139 0.000222 0.000340
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.961870e-06 0.000017 0.000039 0.000079 0.000142 0.000231 0.000359
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.921964e-06 0.000015 0.000037 0.000078 0.000144 0.000237 0.000374
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.106323e-06 0.000013 0.000035 0.000077 0.000145 0.000244 0.000390
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.407869e-06 0.000012 0.000033 0.000076 0.000146 0.000250 0.000405
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.753631e-06 0.000010 0.000031 0.000073 0.000145 0.000253 0.000415
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.198140e-06 0.000009 0.000028 0.000070 0.000143 0.000253 0.000422
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 8.398182e-07 0.000007 0.000026 0.000068 0.000142 0.000256 0.000433
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 7.337516e-07 0.000007 0.000027 0.000070 0.000149 0.000271 0.000460
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 5.563946e-07 0.000007 0.000026 0.000070 0.000151 0.000279 0.000478